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Super Saturday: Final Day Permutations

13 Mar 2026

As the 2026 Guinness Men's Six Nations heads into Super Saturday, take a look at the different scenarios that might unfold on what promises to be an electric weekend of rugby.

The 2026 Guinness Men’s Six Nations reaches its conclusion this weekend with three teams battling it out at the top. Following Round 4, France and Scotland are level at the top of the table with 16 points each, while Ireland sit in third place on 14 points.

Scotland’s title scenarios

Scotland’s chances of winning its first Six Nations-era title depend on the result at the Aviva Stadium as the opening match on Super Saturday and the subsequent outcome of France v England in Paris.

If England beat France: Scotland will win the championship with any win in Dublin. Even a loss with two bonus points could be enough to top the table, provided Ireland do not get a try-scoring bonus point and Scotland maintain their points difference advantage over Ireland.
If France draw with England: Any Scottish win would secure the title. A draw with Ireland would also suffice if Scotland gain more bonus points than France in their respective matches.
If France beat England: Scotland would need to beat Ireland and secure at least one more bonus point than the French. If both teams finish on the same match points, Scotland would need to overcome the current point difference of 58 to take the title.

How France and Ireland can win

France remain in a strong position due to their superior points difference. If Scotland beat Ireland, France can still win the title by defeating England and matching Scotland’s bonus point tally or securing more. If Ireland win or draw against Scotland, any French victory in the late kick-off would guarantee them the championship.

Ireland can claim the title if they defeat Scotland, ideally with a bonus point to reach 19 points. For this to result in a championship win, they would then need England to beat France. If France were to get a draw, Ireland would need to ensure they finish with more bonus points than the French, or overcome a points difference deficit of 63.

EDINBURGH, SCOTLAND – FEBRUARY 09: The Triple Crown, Six Nations and the Century Quaich during a Guinness Six Nations match between Scotland and Ireland at Scottish Gas Murrayfield, on 9 February 2025

Silverware on the line

The opening match in Dublin has additional silverware at stake, serving as a Triple Crown decider as well as the contest for the Century Quaich. Both Scotland and Ireland have defeated Wales and England in this year’s competition meaning the winner of their head-to-head encounter will secure the Triple Crown. Scotland last achieved this in 1990, while Ireland are the most recent recipients from 2023.

Additionally, the two sides will compete for the Century Quaich. This award, a traditional Gaelic drinking vessel, has been contested annually since 1989. Ireland are the current holders, having won the trophy during the 2025 Guinness Men’s Six Nations but Scotland will be seeking to take it home on this high stakes day.